Case Study: Ex-US Orphan Indication Expansion & Launch Sequence Development

Project Objective

  • Our client was evaluating an orphan indication for Product X, which is currently indicated for another orphan indication in Europe, Japan, and Latin America

  • While the indication expansion represents a revenue opportunity, increasing the eligible population size compounded by a higher dose may result in a price renegotiation and increased budget impact concerns

  • Therefore, the client had 3 main objectives: 1) identify P&MA implications of indication expansion and risk mitigation, 2) assess evidence required to support market access and 3) determine the optimal launch sequence

Windrose Approach

  • We conducted secondary research on both indications, and then performed an analog analysis to provide insight into past payer reactions to indication expansion

  • The analogs and secondary research informed comprehensive hypotheses related to Product X’s value requirements, payer review process, the P&MA impact of a new indication and a higher dose on payer decision making

  • Finally, we conducted 22 in-depth interviews with stakeholders from France, Germany, Spain, UK, Taiwan and Brazil

Impact

  • Windrose provided the following:

    • Stakeholder perceptions of Product X in the new indication, including value, price and market access expectations and evidence requirements to support access and shape the clinical trial design

    • Perceptions of Product X’s indication extension, analysis of dosing scenarios, and expected payer management, including requirements to mitigate population size uncertainty

    • Qualitative launch sequence analysis, including international reference pricing (IRP) risk mitigation strategies

    • Clear and practical global recommendations as well as market-specific insights which the client used to inform their indication expansion strategy for Product X

 

Post launch indication, Estimated IRP impact, Windrose Consulting Group

 

Post launch indication, Illustrative Pricing, Windrose Consulting Group

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